Libertad Asuncionvs
Sportivo Ameliano
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Profesional - Clausura · 9/19/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Libertad Asuncion · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (15%), 1-1 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Libertad Asuncion 1-1 Sportivo Ameliano
Original prediction
Libertad Asuncion
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.76 | 52.4% | 54.9% | 2.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.58 | 25.9% | 24.9% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 4.25 | 21.8% | 20.2% | -1.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.58 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–015%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Libertad Asuncion
Probability
54.9%
Model confidence
54.9%
Libertad Asuncion has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20