Libertad Asuncionvs
Sportivo Ameliano
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 8/15/2024, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Libertad Asuncion · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Libertad Asuncion are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Sportivo Ameliano are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Libertad Asuncion hold a 43.4-point power-rating edge (58.8 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.3% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Libertad Asuncion holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Libertad Asuncion
Probability
47.3%
Model confidence
47.3%
Libertad Asuncion has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20