Libertad Asuncionvs
Rubio NU
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Profesional - Clausura · 9/6/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Libertad Asuncion · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Libertad Asuncion 4-2 Rubio NU
Original prediction
Libertad Asuncion
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.65 | 55.8% | 61.8% | 6.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.68 | 25.0% | 21.8% | -3.1 pts |
| Away | 4.79 | 19.2% | 16.3% | -2.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.65 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
Libertad Asuncion
Probability
61.8%
Model confidence
61.8%
Libertad Asuncion has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40