GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Libertadores · 4/15/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Libertad Asuncion are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Rosario Central are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Rosario Central hold a 15.6-point power-rating edge (52.3 v 67.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.8% in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

46.8%

Model confidence

46.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Libertad AsuncionLWLWD

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Rosario CentralLDWLW

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Libertad AsuncionRosario Central
29.2Attack42.9
75.0Defence95.2
45.8Form66.7
52.3Power67.9
0.60xG0.72
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