Libertad Asuncionvs
Olimpia
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Profesional - Clausura · 9/28/2026, 10:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Olimpia · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 0-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Libertad Asuncion 0-1 Olimpia
Original prediction
Olimpia
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.45 | 37.5% | 32.9% | -4.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.18 | 28.9% | 27.4% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 2.73 | 33.6% | 39.8% | 6.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.73 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.0–112%
Predicted outcome
Olimpia
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
Olimpia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60