Libertad Asuncionvs
Fortaleza EC
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 8/1/2023, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fortaleza EC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Libertad Asuncion are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Fortaleza EC are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Fortaleza EC hold a 15.4-point power-rating edge (58.8 v 74.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.5% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Fortaleza EC holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fortaleza EC
Probability
54.5%
Model confidence
54.5%
Fortaleza EC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80