GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 9/20/2024, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Libertad Asuncion are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Cruzeiro are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 58.8 against 60.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.0% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

44.0%

Model confidence

44.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Libertad AsuncionWWLDW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
CruzeiroLWDLW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Libertad AsuncionCruzeiro
33.3Attack41.0
75.0Defence74.4
58.3Form59.0
58.8Power60.0
0.66xG0.82
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