Libertad Asuncionvs
Club Guarani
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Profesional - Clausura · 10/11/2026, 10:20:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Libertad Asuncion · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Libertad Asuncion 0-0 Club Guarani, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Libertad Asuncion 2-2 Club Guarani
Original prediction
Libertad Asuncion
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 13:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.04 | 45.1% | 41.7% | -3.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.19 | 28.8% | 31.4% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 3.52 | 26.1% | 26.9% | 0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.19 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.4 pts
Projected Score
Libertad Asuncion 0–0 Club Guarani
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Libertad Asuncion
Probability
41.7%
Model confidence
41.7%
Libertad Asuncion has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40