GGOALVIO

World · Africa Cup of Nations U20 · 10/15/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Liberia U20 0-0 Gambia U20

Original prediction

Draw

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 14 October 2026 at 07:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home3.1928.2%34.9%6.7 pts
Draw3.1628.4%29.9%1.5 pts
Away2.0843.3%35.2%-8.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 2.16 · Draw 2.16 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

1.5 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–115%
  2. 2.0–013%
  3. 3.1–012%

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

29.9%

Model confidence

35.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Liberia U20No completed matches

GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00

BTTS 0/0O2.5 0/0
Gambia U20LWWWW

GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Liberia U20Gambia U20
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.15xG0.98
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