Leyton Orientvs
Stevenage
COMPLETEDEngland · League One · 9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Leyton Orient · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Leyton Orient 1-0 Stevenage
Original prediction
Leyton Orient
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.45 | 37.9% | 38.4% | 0.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.15 | 29.4% | 25.6% | -3.8 pts |
| Away | 2.83 | 32.7% | 36.0% | 3.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.45 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Leyton Orient
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Leyton Orient has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40