GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 1/21/2025, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Stevenage · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Leyton Orient are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Stevenage are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Stevenage hold a 22.0-point power-rating edge (32.9 v 54.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.0% in the EFL Trophy, while Stevenage holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Stevenage

Probability

44.0%

Model confidence

44.0%

Stevenage has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Leyton OrientDWWWW

GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
StevenageLDDWL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Leyton OrientStevenage
44.4Attack66.7
33.3Defence55.6
11.1Form44.4
32.9Power54.9
1.57xG1.97
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