Leyton Orientvs
Portsmouth
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 11/7/2023, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Portsmouth · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Leyton Orient are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Portsmouth are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Portsmouth hold a 24.6-point power-rating edge (32.9 v 57.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.4% in the EFL Trophy, while Portsmouth holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Portsmouth
Probability
43.4%
Model confidence
43.4%
Portsmouth has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60