GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 11/7/2023, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Portsmouth · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Leyton Orient are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Portsmouth are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Portsmouth hold a 24.6-point power-rating edge (32.9 v 57.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.4% in the EFL Trophy, while Portsmouth holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Portsmouth

Probability

43.4%

Model confidence

43.4%

Portsmouth has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Leyton OrientDDDWW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
PortsmouthWDWWW

GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Leyton OrientPortsmouth
44.4Attack100.0
33.3Defence16.7
11.1Form58.3
32.9Power57.5
2.00xG2.34
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