Leyton Orientvs
Plymouth
COMPLETEDEngland · League One · 10/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Leyton Orient · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Leyton Orient 0-2 Plymouth
Original prediction
Leyton Orient
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 09:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.10 | 30.0% | 40.6% | 10.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.53 | 26.3% | 24.6% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 2.13 | 43.6% | 34.8% | -8.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Leyton Orient
Probability
40.6%
Model confidence
40.6%
Leyton Orient has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20