Leyton Orientvs
Plymouth
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 12/2/2025, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Plymouth · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Leyton Orient are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Plymouth are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Plymouth hold a 33.6-point power-rating edge (32.9 v 66.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.4% in the EFL Trophy, while Plymouth holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Plymouth
Probability
55.4%
Model confidence
55.4%
Plymouth has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80