GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 9/19/2023, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fulham U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Leyton Orient are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Fulham U21 are 0W-2D-0L in their last 2 (DD), averaging 3.00 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Fulham U21 hold a 17.3-point power-rating edge (32.9 v 50.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.6% in the EFL Trophy, while Fulham U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fulham U21

Probability

39.6%

Model confidence

39.6%

Fulham U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Leyton OrientDWLLW

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Fulham U21DD

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/3.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Leyton OrientFulham U21
44.4Attack66.7
33.3Defence33.3
11.1Form41.7
32.9Power50.3
1.84xG1.99
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