GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 10/7/2025, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Crawley Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Leyton Orient are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Crawley Town are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Crawley Town hold a 30.4-point power-rating edge (32.9 v 63.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.4% in the EFL Trophy, while Crawley Town holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Crawley Town

Probability

46.4%

Model confidence

46.4%

Crawley Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Leyton OrientLLLDW

GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Crawley TownLLLWW

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Leyton OrientCrawley Town
44.4Attack66.7
33.3Defence46.7
11.1Form66.7
32.9Power63.4
1.60xG2.12
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