GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 10/8/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Leyton Orient · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Leyton Orient are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Colchester are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 32.9 against 34.9. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.2% in the EFL Trophy, while Leyton Orient holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Leyton Orient

Probability

49.2%

Model confidence

49.2%

Leyton Orient has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Leyton OrientLLDDW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ColchesterDDLWW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Leyton OrientColchester
44.4Attack25.0
33.3Defence16.7
11.1Form50.0
32.9Power34.9
2.10xG1.44
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