Leyton Orientvs
Blackpool
COMPLETEDEngland · League One · 10/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Leyton Orient · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Leyton Orient 2-0 Blackpool
Original prediction
Leyton Orient
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.19 | 42.5% | 48.4% | 5.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 26.4% | 23.9% | -2.5 pts |
| Away | 2.99 | 31.1% | 27.7% | -3.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.19 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Leyton Orient
Probability
48.4%
Model confidence
48.4%
Leyton Orient has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40