Leyton Orientvs
Barnsley
SCHEDULEDEngland · League One · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Barnsley · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Leyton Orient are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Barnsley are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Barnsley hold a 5.7-point power-rating edge (50.6 v 56.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.1% in the League One, while Barnsley holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Barnsley
Probability
39.0%
Model confidence
14.1%
Barnsley has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60