Leyton Orientvs
Barnsley
COMPLETEDEngland · League One · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Leyton Orient · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Leyton Orient 1-3 Barnsley
Original prediction
Leyton Orient
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.24 | 41.6% | 42.1% | 0.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 26.7% | 28.0% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.93 | 31.7% | 29.9% | -1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Leyton Orient
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
Leyton Orient has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00