Leyton Orientvs
Aston Villa U21
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 10/28/2025, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Leyton Orient · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Leyton Orient are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Aston Villa U21 are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Leyton Orient hold a 3.5-point power-rating edge (32.9 v 29.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.5% in the EFL Trophy, while Leyton Orient holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Leyton Orient
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
42.5%
Leyton Orient has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80