GGOALVIO

USA · USL Super League · 9/8/2024, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lexington W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Lexington W are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Tampa Bay Sun W are 0W-2D-0L in their last 2 (DD), averaging 0.50 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 3 games and 0 passed 2.5 goals, and Lexington W hold a 51.7-point power-rating edge (97.0 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.3% in the USL Super League, while Lexington W holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lexington W

Probability

48.3%

Model confidence

48.3%

Lexington W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lexington WD

GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 0/1
Tampa Bay Sun WDD

GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 0.50/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 0/2
Lexington WTampa Bay Sun W
100.0Attack33.3
100.0Defence66.7
100.0Form33.3
97.0Power45.3
1.50xG0.86
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