GGOALVIO

USA · USL Super League · 9/22/2024, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lexington W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Lexington W are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (LLD), averaging 1.67 scored and 3.33 conceded, while Fort Lauderdale United W are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (WLD), averaging 1.33 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Lexington W hold a 73.3-point power-rating edge (97.0 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.8% in the USL Super League, while Lexington W holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lexington W

Probability

49.8%

Model confidence

49.8%

Lexington W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lexington WLLD

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.67/3.33

BTTS 3/3O2.5 2/3
Fort Lauderdale United WWLD

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 1.33/1.00

BTTS 2/3O2.5 1/3
Lexington WFort Lauderdale United W
100.0Attack0.0
100.0Defence66.7
100.0Form0.0
97.0Power23.7
1.53xG0.83
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