Lexington Wvs
DC Power W
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Super League · 8/29/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lexington W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lexington W 1-2 DC Power W
Original prediction
Lexington W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.86 | 48.3% | 43.9% | -4.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.27 | 27.4% | 27.6% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 3.71 | 24.2% | 28.5% | 4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Lexington W
Probability
43.9%
Model confidence
43.9%
Lexington W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00