GGOALVIO

USA · USL Super League · 8/29/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

DC Power W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Lexington W are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while DC Power W are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and DC Power W hold an 8.6-point power-rating edge (30.5 v 39.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.7% in the USL Super League, while DC Power W holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

DC Power W

Probability

37.3%

Model confidence

14.7%

DC Power W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lexington WDWWWW

GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
DC Power WLLLDW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Lexington WDC Power W
34.5Attack28.6
26.2Defence51.2
21.4Form28.6
30.5Power39.0
1.06xG1.18
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