Lexington Wvs
Dallas Trinity W
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Super League · 9/25/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lexington W · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lexington W 3-0 Dallas Trinity W
Original prediction
Lexington W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 06:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.98 | 44.8% | 41.9% | -2.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.23 | 27.5% | 28.0% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 3.20 | 27.8% | 30.1% | 2.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.98 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Lexington W
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
41.9%
Lexington W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40