Lexington Wvs
Carolina Ascent W
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Super League · 9/11/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Carolina Ascent W · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lexington W 0-1 Carolina Ascent W
Original prediction
Carolina Ascent W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.63 | 34.0% | 33.5% | -0.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.17 | 28.2% | 28.0% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.37 | 37.8% | 38.5% | 0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.37 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–19%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Carolina Ascent W
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
Carolina Ascent W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20