Lexingtonvs
Phoenix Rising
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 8/8/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lexington 1-0 Phoenix Rising
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 August 2026 at 01:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5-unified-score-distribution.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
28.0%
Model confidence
13.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LexingtonWDWLL
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Phoenix RisingDDWLL
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
LexingtonPhoenix Rising
51.9Attack42.1
59.3Defence54.4
51.9Form38.6
54.8Power46.4
1.56xG0.91