USL Championship
Lexington
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Lexington leads with 39% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.
Match insights
Lexington head into this in USL Championship fixture at Toyota Stadium in mixed form (L), while New Mexico United arrive in mixed form (D). Lexington have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for New Mexico United over 1 games.
The model rates Lexington's attack at 34/100 against a 6/100 New Mexico United defence, and New Mexico United's attack at 94/100 against a 1/100 Lexington backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.
Lexington have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 1.0 goals scored and 4.0 conceded per home match. New Mexico United have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 4.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.
New Mexico United have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 5.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.
The GoalVio engine projects Lexington to win with 39% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Lexington 3876%, Draw 2663%, New Mexico United 3462%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.
Head to head
Recent form
Lexington
New Mexico United
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Lexington vs New Mexico United?
GoalVio's model predicts Lexington to win with 39% confidence.
What is the predicted score for Lexington vs New Mexico United?
The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.
Will both teams score in Lexington vs New Mexico United?
GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Lexington vs New Mexico United?
GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.