LexingtonvsLouisville City

Lexington are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Louisville City are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Lexington hold a 2.7-point power-rating edge (54.8 v 52.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.0% in the USL Championship, while Lexington holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.