GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 8/22/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lexington · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Lexington 2-0 Las Vegas Lights

Original prediction

Lexington

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.1–011%
  3. 3.0–09%

Predicted outcome

Lexington

Probability

51.0%

Model confidence

51.0%

Lexington has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LexingtonLWWDW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Las Vegas LightsWWDDW

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
LexingtonLas Vegas Lights
49.1Attack46.7
59.6Defence53.3
49.1Form48.3
53.2Power52.1
1.48xG1.03
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