Lexingtonvs
Forward Madison
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 4/8/2023, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Forward Madison · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Lexington are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Forward Madison are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 3 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Forward Madison hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (42.8 v 64.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.7% in the USL League One, while Forward Madison holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Forward Madison
Probability
62.7%
Model confidence
62.7%
Forward Madison has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/1.00