GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 4/8/2023, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Forward Madison · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Lexington are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Forward Madison are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 3 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Forward Madison hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (42.8 v 64.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.7% in the USL League One, while Forward Madison holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Forward Madison

Probability

62.7%

Model confidence

62.7%

Forward Madison has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LexingtonLL

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Forward MadisonD

GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 0/1
LexingtonForward Madison
47.9Attack66.7
40.6Defence64.9
33.3Form63.2
42.8Power64.5
1.02xG2.33
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