Lexingtonvs
Forward Madison
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One Cup · 4/28/2024, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lexington · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Lexington are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Forward Madison are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Lexington hold a 14.6-point power-rating edge (48.8 v 34.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.4% in the USL League One Cup, while Lexington holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lexington
Probability
47.4%
Model confidence
47.4%
Lexington has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40