Lexingtonvs
Colorado Springs
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 8/29/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lexington · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lexington 0-1 Colorado Springs
Original prediction
Lexington
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.15 | 42.4% | 48.9% | 6.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.47 | 26.3% | 23.8% | -2.5 pts |
| Away | 2.92 | 31.3% | 27.3% | -4.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Lexington
Probability
48.9%
Model confidence
48.9%
Lexington has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80