GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 8/29/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lexington · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Lexington are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Colorado Springs are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Lexington hold a 3.1-point power-rating edge (54.8 v 51.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.9% in the USL Championship, while Lexington holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lexington

Probability

47.0%

Model confidence

12.9%

Lexington has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LexingtonWWDWL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Colorado SpringsDLLWW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
LexingtonColorado Springs
51.9Attack51.9
59.3Defence51.9
51.9Form46.3
54.8Power51.7
1.62xG1.15
View match centre →