LexingtonvsCentral Valley Fuego

Lexington are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Central Valley Fuego are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Lexington hold a 5.6-point power-rating edge (48.8 v 43.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.4% in the USL League One Cup, while Lexington holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.