GGOALVIO

England · Women's Championship · 9/10/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Birmingham City W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Lewes W are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.50 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Birmingham City W are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Birmingham City W hold a 22.5-point power-rating edge (36.0 v 58.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.7% in the Women's Championship, while Birmingham City W holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Birmingham City W

Probability

44.7%

Model confidence

44.7%

Birmingham City W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lewes WLL

GF 1 · GA 6 · avg 0.50/3.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Birmingham City WLL

GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.50/1.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Lewes WBirmingham City W
33.3Attack50.0
40.9Defence71.2
24.2Form54.5
36.0Power58.5
0.58xG1.74
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