Lewesvs
Maldon & Tiptree
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Isthmian · 10/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lewes · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (10%), 2-0 (10%), 3-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lewes 1-1 Maldon & Tiptree
Original prediction
Lewes
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.51 | 59.9% | 75.0% | 15.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.29 | 21.1% | 14.4% | -6.7 pts |
| Away | 4.75 | 19.0% | 10.7% | -8.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.29 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–010%
- 2.2–010%
- 3.3–19%
Predicted outcome
Lewes
Probability
75.0%
Model confidence
75.0%
Lewes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 3 · GA 14 · avg 0.60/2.80