Lewesvs
Eastbourne Borough
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Isthmian · 8/31/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lewes · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lewes 1-0 Eastbourne Borough
Original prediction
Lewes
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.18 | 28.3% | 42.4% | 14.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.55 | 25.4% | 24.6% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 1.95 | 46.3% | 32.9% | -13.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.18 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Lewes
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
Lewes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80