GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Isthmian · 8/12/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cray Wanderers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Lewes are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (LDW), averaging 2.67 scored and 1.67 conceded, while Cray Wanderers are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 8 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Cray Wanderers hold a 27.3-point power-rating edge (21.0 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.2% in the Non League Premier - Isthmian, while Cray Wanderers holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cray Wanderers

Probability

38.2%

Model confidence

38.2%

Cray Wanderers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LewesLDW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 2.67/1.67

BTTS 2/3O2.5 3/3
Cray WanderersDDWLW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
LewesCray Wanderers
0.0Attack16.7
33.3Defence83.3
16.7Form33.3
21.0Power48.3
1.28xG1.46
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