Levski Sofiavs
Red Bull Salzburg
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 9/17/2026, 4:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Red Bull Salzburg · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Levski Sofia 0-1 Red Bull Salzburg
Original prediction
Red Bull Salzburg
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 18:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.29 | 28.7% | 28.1% | -0.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.55 | 26.7% | 27.7% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 2.12 | 44.6% | 44.2% | -0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.12 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–113%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Red Bull Salzburg
Probability
44.2%
Model confidence
44.2%
Red Bull Salzburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 16 · GA 3 · avg 3.20/0.60