GGOALVIO

Bulgaria · First League · 7/30/2023, 6:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Levski Sofia · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Levski Sofia are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Lokomotiv Sofia are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Levski Sofia hold a 54.2-point power-rating edge (87.9 v 33.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.5% in the First League, while Levski Sofia holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Levski Sofia

Probability

66.5%

Model confidence

66.5%

Levski Sofia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Levski SofiaWWLDW

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Lokomotiv SofiaLWWWW

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Levski SofiaLokomotiv Sofia
75.0Attack33.3
83.3Defence41.7
100.0Form16.7
87.9Power33.8
2.13xG0.71
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