GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Champions League · 8/4/2026, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Levski Sofia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Levski Sofia are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Kairat Almaty are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Levski Sofia hold a 19.2-point power-rating edge (73.1 v 54.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.5% in the UEFA Champions League, while Levski Sofia holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Levski Sofia

Probability

50.7%

Model confidence

16.5%

Levski Sofia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Levski SofiaWDWWW

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Kairat AlmatyWWLWW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Levski SofiaKairat Almaty
55.6Attack27.8
83.3Defence77.8
77.8Form50.0
73.1Power54.0
1.33xG0.69
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