Levski Sofiavs
CSKA Sofia
COMPLETEDBulgaria · Super Cup · 9/9/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Levski Sofia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Levski Sofia 2-4 CSKA Sofia
Original prediction
Levski Sofia
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.05 | 44.5% | 37.5% | -6.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.08 | 29.5% | 28.7% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 3.50 | 26.0% | 33.8% | 7.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Levski Sofia
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
37.5%
Levski Sofia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40