Levski Sofiavs
CSKA 1948
COMPLETEDBulgaria · First League · 9/5/2026, 6:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Levski Sofia · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Levski Sofia 1-0 CSKA 1948
Original prediction
Levski Sofia
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.55 | 59.7% | 52.7% | -7.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.79 | 24.4% | 24.6% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 5.78 | 16.0% | 22.8% | 6.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.55 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Levski Sofia
Probability
52.7%
Model confidence
52.7%
Levski Sofia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00