GGOALVIO

Bulgaria · First League · 7/14/2023, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ludogorets · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Levski Krumovgrad are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Ludogorets are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Ludogorets hold a 35.3-point power-rating edge (50.4 v 85.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.3% in the First League, while Ludogorets holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ludogorets

Probability

47.3%

Model confidence

47.3%

Ludogorets has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Levski KrumovgradDDDDW

GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
LudogoretsLWWWD

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Levski KrumovgradLudogorets
42.9Attack66.7
57.1Defence80.0
46.7Form100.0
50.4Power85.7
0.86xG1.46
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