GGOALVIO

Bulgaria · First League · 7/28/2023, 6:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Levski Krumovgrad · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Levski Krumovgrad are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Cherno More Varna are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Levski Krumovgrad hold a 24.6-point power-rating edge (50.4 v 25.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.9% in the First League, while Levski Krumovgrad holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Levski Krumovgrad

Probability

46.9%

Model confidence

46.9%

Levski Krumovgrad has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Levski KrumovgradLWDDD

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Cherno More VarnaWDWDL

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Levski KrumovgradCherno More Varna
42.9Attack11.1
57.1Defence44.4
46.7Form11.1
50.4Power25.8
1.43xG0.84
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