Levantevs
Real Betis
COMPLETEDSpain · La Liga · 8/29/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Betis · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Levante 5-2 Real Betis
Original prediction
Real Betis
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.34 | 28.5% | 30.2% | 1.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.32 | 28.6% | 28.7% | 0.0 pts |
| Away | 2.22 | 42.9% | 41.1% | -1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Real Betis
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
41.1%
Real Betis has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80