Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Levante are 0W-2D-2L in their last 4 (DLLD), averaging 0.75 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Burgos are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 9 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Levante hold a 2.4-point power-rating edge (52.2 v 49.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.4% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.75/1.50
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20