2. Division - Group 22. Division - Group 2
Saturday, 25 July 2026Last updated 10:01
Levanger

Levanger

Home
W
30
Full time
Ull/Kisa

Ull/Kisa

Away
L
Tobb Arena Levanger
GoalVio prediction
71% confidence
Levanger(71%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
Levanger
71%
Draw
20%
Ull/Kisa
9%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Levanger
73
Ull/Kisa
73
Defence
Levanger
91
Ull/Kisa
0
Momentum
Levanger
100
Ull/Kisa
0
Danger (xG)
Levanger
1.80
Ull/Kisa
1.80
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 3.56 xG for Levanger and 0.64 xG for Ull/Kisa. Ull/Kisa's projected xG of 0.64 is not sufficient to make scoring a reliable expectation — the model does not see them generating enough high-quality chances to break through.The projected 3-0 scoreline features a clean sheet for one side. The xG distribution suggests Levanger will score, but Ull/Kisa's attacking output falls below the threshold the model requires to project both teams scoring.Levanger's Defensive Stability Score (91) comfortably exceeds the opposition's Attack Score (73). That structural defensive advantage is the clearest reason the model does not project both teams scoring.

Over 2.5 goals
Yes

The model projects a combined xG of 4.20 — high attacking volume for this fixture. A combined xG above 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is likely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture clears that threshold.The projected 3-0 scoreline clears the 2.5-goal threshold — 3 goals in the most likely outcome. With both sides generating high xG, multiple scoreline combinations in the probability grid exceed 2.5 goals.The attack-versus-defence matchups across both ends of the pitch favour the attackers. Levanger's Attack Score (73) vs Ull/Kisa's Defensive Stability (0) and Ull/Kisa's attack (73) vs Levanger's defence (91) both point to a goal-friendly environment — neither defence is strong enough to suppress the other side's attacking output.

xG for (Levanger)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Ull/Kisa)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Levanger)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Ull/Kisa)
4.50
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
LevangerLevanger
WW
Ull/KisaUll/Kisa
L

Probability breakdown

71% confidence
Levanger71%
Draw20%
Ull/Kisa9%

Levanger leads with 71% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Levanger Backed to Win — Model Projects 2-1

Levanger host Ull/Kisa in 2. Division - Group 2. Levanger have recorded LWWWWW in recent matches while Ull/Kisa arrive with a run of LWWLLL. These sides have met 10 times recently, averaging 3.7 goals per game.

Key factors

: 🎯 xG Advantage The Goalvio xG model projects 3.56 expected goals for Levanger against 0.64 for Ull/Kisa — a significant advantage that translates into a higher win probability. xG is the model's most reliable predictor of match outcomes.
: 🔒 Defensive Stability Levanger have kept 5 clean sheet(s) in 10 recent matches — a defensive record that gives them a meaningful edge in this fixture. Defensive solidity is one of the strongest predictors of match outcomes at this level.
: 🏟️ Home Advantage Goalvio applies an 8% xG boost for home teams based on empirical data showing home sides score 10–15% more goals at their own ground. Levanger's Elo-adjusted home strength gives them a 63% expected score in this fixture — a factor that tips the balance when the underlying numbers are close.

Why GoalVio backs this

Levanger are generating a dominant xG advantage — 3.56 projected against 0.64 for Ull/Kisa. xG measures the quality of chances created, not just shots. A gap of 2.92 is the clearest signal in the model that Levanger are the materially more dangerous side in this fixture.

Biggest risk: Levanger's projection depends on converting chances into goals. If Ull/Kisa defend deep, absorb pressure, and hit on the counter, the match could end differently than the model projects — particularly if Levanger fail to score in the first half.

Risk factors

  • These sides have drawn 2 of their last 10 meetings — history suggests a tight, unpredictable contest.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Recent form

Levanger

Levanger

W
@ Follo
28 Jun 2026
20
W
vs Trygg/Lade
16 May 2026
30
Ull/Kisa

Ull/Kisa

L
vs Eidsvold
15 May 2026
25

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Levanger vs Ull/Kisa?

GoalVio's model predicts Levanger to win with 71% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Levanger vs Ull/Kisa?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Levanger vs Ull/Kisa?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Levanger vs Ull/Kisa?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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