Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Levanger · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 3-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Levanger 3-1 Rana
Original prediction
Levanger
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 08:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.30 | 69.5% | 74.5% | 5.0 pts |
| Draw | 5.12 | 17.6% | 14.1% | -3.6 pts |
| Away | 7.03 | 12.8% | 11.4% | -1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.30 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–19%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.3–08%
Predicted outcome
Levanger
Probability
74.5%
Model confidence
74.5%
Levanger has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LevangerDLLWL
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
RanaLWLWL
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
LevangerRana
76.8Attack55.1
60.9Defence40.6
66.7Form43.5
66.6Power48.4
3.21xG1.16