Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Levanger · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (8%), 3-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Levanger 5-0 Lørenskog
Original prediction
Levanger
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.50 | 60.5% | 64.8% | 4.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.28 | 21.2% | 17.9% | -3.3 pts |
| Away | 4.97 | 18.3% | 17.3% | -0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.50 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.3–18%
Predicted outcome
Levanger
Probability
64.8%
Model confidence
64.8%
Levanger has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LevangerWLLWW
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
LørenskogLLLLW
GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
LevangerLørenskog
72.9Attack56.3
60.4Defence50.0
68.8Form54.2
66.9Power52.7
2.53xG1.22