Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Levanger · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (7%), 2-2 (7%), 3-1 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Levanger 0-0 Hønefoss
Original prediction
Levanger
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 06:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.82 | 49.7% | 52.2% | 2.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.86 | 23.5% | 19.1% | -4.4 pts |
| Away | 3.38 | 26.8% | 28.7% | 1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.86 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–17%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.3–16%
Predicted outcome
Levanger
Probability
52.2%
Model confidence
52.2%
Levanger has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LevangerLLWLW
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
HønefossLLWWD
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
LevangerHønefoss
80.3Attack84.8
59.1Defence50.0
68.2Form68.2
67.5Power67.0
2.68xG1.97